Since the Prime Minister of India Narendra Modi sent a letter to Pakistan on Pakistan Day, it is hoped that good relations will be re-established between the two countries.
It is not that the desire for peace between the two countries has not been expressed in the past, the Prime Ministers of the two countries have made positive statements in the past expressing hope for good relations. However, in the context of security issues, especially the situation in Indian-administered Kashmir, these statements were limited to rhetoric.
Based on this hope, if we look at the mutual and unilateral goals of India and Pakistan, experts welcome the progress that has been made in recent times, but at the same time warn that it is possible to resolve these issues in stages, not immediately. Is.
Recent developments and messages between Pakistan and India
On the occasion of Pakistan Day, Prime Minister Narendra Modi wrote in a message addressed to Imran Khan that "India wants cordial relations with the people of Pakistan".
Not only that, recently when Imran Khan had to coronate, Modi had sent him a message of recovery. Many other signs of change in the atmosphere have also been seen when the Prime Minister of Pakistan Imran Khan and the Chief of Army Staff General Qamar Bajwa made statements in recent days to improve relations with India.
An eight-member Pakistani delegation led by Pakistan's Indus Water Commissioner Syed Mehr Ali Shah is holding talks with its Indian counterparts in New Delhi for the annual Indus Water Treaty negotiations. This conversation is taking place after two years.
Last month, the two countries' directors of military operations abruptly declared a ceasefire on the Line of Control, and the ceasefire has been in full force ever since. The sudden announcement of a ceasefire took everyone by surprise and echoed in many quarters that Indian and Pakistani officials were holding behind-the-scenes talks to normalize the situation.
It is also important to point out here that in the diplomatic circles, the reason for the relations and statements between India and Pakistan is being termed as 'track to diplomacy'.
Following the ceasefire agreement on the LOC between the two countries in February, some Indian and international newspapers published reports of possible secret talks between Indian National Security Adviser Ajit Doval and his Pakistani counterpart Moeed Yousaf. Was mentioned to be.
However, Moeed Yousuf denied the allegations in a tweet, saying the allegations were baseless.
The name of former Army Chief General Jahangir Karamat has also come up again and again in this regard. When sources close to Jahangir Karamat spoke to him about this, he expressed ignorance in this regard.
Improvement in Pakistan-India relations and UAE
Sheikh Abdullah bin Zayed Al Nahyan: Bloomberg reports that "the UAE Foreign Minister has been a constant guide in the dialogue between the two countries."
Meanwhile, rumours are rife in both the countries that the UAE is behind the improvement in Pakistan-India relations.
It is also being speculated that the UAE royal family may be behind the recent developments in relations between the two countries.
In this regard, according to a recent report published by the international news agency Bloomberg, India and Pakistan have started to follow a four-member 'peace blueprint' for peace, which is called 'The United Arab Emirates. The UAE government has prepared.
"The UAE Foreign Minister has been a constant guide in the dialogue between the two countries," Bloomberg reported.
While no official statement has yet been issued regarding the veracity of the news, it has not been denied by the three countries.
Rauf Hassan, Special Assistant to the Prime Minister of Pakistan for Information and Broadcasting, told the Media: "Pakistan will always listen to its sympathizers and neighbours and welcome those who make suggestions on issues with India. Will do
"Contrary to what the UAE or the United States have said, the important thing at the moment is that talks are going on between the two countries," he said. If we look at history, Pakistan has already seen the offer and help of other countries positively but India has always rejected the interference of any other country by saying that it is its bilateral issue with Pakistan.
It may be recalled that Saudi Arabia's Deputy Foreign Minister Adil Al-Jubeir has admitted that Saudi Arabia is trying to reduce tensions between India and Pakistan.
In an interview with Arab News, Jubair said that Saudi Arabia wants peace in the entire region and is working for it at various levels.
What immediate improvements can make in a relationship?
After the recent bitterness in the relations between the two countries, there are signs of some positive changes in the atmosphere.
Talk to the Media
Former Pakistani Interior Minister Moinuddin Haider said, "Now two to three things can be done immediately. Both countries should send back their ambassadors.
"Visa policy should be simplified so that people living on both sides can easily visit religious places and trade between the two countries should be resumed from the Wagah border."
Speaking to our correspondent Shakeel Akhtar in New Delhi, Amit Barwa, editor of The Hindu in India, said, "Whenever there is a sudden announcement between India and Pakistan, we can assume that Some back-channel diplomacy is happening behind the scenes.
Amit Barua says it is noteworthy that the changes in the atmosphere have taken place since Biden became President of the United States.
"The United States is also interested in keeping India and Pakistan in touch," he said. I think it will be difficult to have a big deal or a big agenda at this stage, but yes, both countries can take immediate action on issues like trade and people coming and going.
Federal Minister for Human Rights Shirin Mazari's statement came after Prime Minister Modi sent a letter to Pakistan.
While welcoming Modi's offer of peace, he also pointed out human rights violations in Indian-administered Kashmir and said that progress was needed on the Kashmir issue.
The importance of Kashmir in India-Pakistan relations can be gauged from the fact that while India and Pakistan have so far fought two wars on this issue in 1948 and 1965, Pakistan has made several international appearances on this issue since August 2019. He has recorded his protest on the issue of changing the special status of Kashmir at the forum and has spoken to the leaders of other countries.
It may be recalled that while addressing the first Islamabad Security Dialogue in Islamabad, General Qamar Javed Bajwa had said that the dream of peace in the subcontinent was unfulfilled till the Kashmir issue was resolved.
Senator Mushahid Hassan says, "India does not want a war in the region at the moment. That is why there is some flexibility in India's attitude.
According to him, the main reason is that the regional situation has changed. Secondly, the steps taken by India in Kashmir are also being criticized. So it is not in his interest to talk about peace at this time and to distance himself from other players in the region.
As far as the current situation in the region is concerned, it is very important for India at this time to be a part of the peace plan in Afghanistan and especially the US peace plan.
Going back a bit, Pakistan has repeatedly accused India of lobbying to blacklist Pakistan through various sessions of the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) to curb terrorist financing. can go.
In this regard, Moinuddin Haider said, "Whether it is Jaish-e-Muhammad or Lashkar-e-Taiba, India should not be blamed on this issue because these groups have been defeated and fenced off." So now is the time to build trust. "
But in the meantime, Pakistan's involvement in the Afghan peace process as a mediator and Joe Biden's election to the US presidency has certainly been a significant opportunity for India to rethink its position in the region.
Mushahid Hassan says Biden's arrival means that for the next two to three years, the United States will be dependent on Pakistan and that gaining enmity would be tantamount to isolating itself in the region and globally.
On the other hand, another issue is India's clash with China and China's proximity to Pakistan. India fears that after clashes between China and India in May 2020 and January 2021, and as a result of the growing proximity and unity between Pakistan and China, India will be stranded on the eastern and northern borders.
Mushahid Hussain says, "At the same time, the internal problems of the Modi government, including code 19, the economy and the struggle of the farmers, are forcing India to take a U-turn."
Rauf Hassan, Special Assistant to the Prime Minister for Information and Broadcasting, said, “Pakistan's role in the Afghan peace process will be to pave the way between East and West. Pakistan is trying to look at its various options in the region as well as the country as a geo-economy by moving away from geo-strategy.
"These issues will be resolved one by one, which will take time," he added. Pakistan knows that peace talks with India will not be complete without talking about Kashmir. Kashmir has never been removed from the table. So even now, if there is progress in the talks, which ended completely after August 2019, it will start with relief in Kashmir.
This "relief" means that while experts believe in lifting restrictions on the movement of people in Kashmir, restoring the Internet, and gradually improving the environment, they also call for a review of the history of the Kashmir resolution.
Rauf Hassan said: "At the moment we can only guess and ask both sides to breathe a sigh of relief and take stock of the situation ahead.
Writer: Ahmad Ali Haider
StarNewsWorld24
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